Category: Primers

  • The doomed outlier

    The doomed outlier

    A friend took me out for coffee and gifted me Gladwell’s Outlier at the 2009 bottom. “This is dedicated to your doomed outlier”. During those murky times, the negative outliers were moving to a positive polarity (worst stocks were becoming potential outperformers). Three years later and many outliers later, Gladwell’s lucid narrative on the history…

  • The Rational Exuberance

    The Rational Exuberance

    In the age of information, quotes become books and books religion, almost. Robert Shiller’s Irrational Exuberance was a voice of caution that appeared in March 2000, before the start of a decade-long sequence of negative fluctuations. The book itself was written about economic bubbles and investor psychology.

  • The Weeping Willow

    The Weeping Willow

    I was invited to deliver an inspirational speech at the Start-up Weekend for the global Jade network. KJ, a friend of mine, an international expert on e-gaming and netpreneur could not avoid a smirk: “Mukul and inspirational talk?”. He knew me well and was much updated about the contrarian me and our idea of glorifying…

  • Investing like Odysseus

    Investing like Odysseus

    Odysseus has traditionally been viewed in the Iliad as Achilles’ antithesis. Unlike Achilles whose anger is self-destructive, Odysseus is renowned for his self-restraint and diplomatic skills.

  • Patterns, Predictions and Possibilities

    Patterns, Predictions and Possibilities

    I am reading Critical Mass, Philip Ball. It talks about patterns in nature and the market and how they are scientifically linked. The author does a tremendous job showcasing order in a presupposed random world. In one of the chapters, the author illustrates how financial crashes and statistical mechanics overlap.

  • The Weekend Effect

    The Weekend Effect

    The idea of patterns and order is used conveniently by behavioral finance to challenge conventional economics. But the question of why that order exists has not been researched.

  • Inflation or Deflation?

    Inflation or Deflation?

    Why does society find it so tough to comprehend whether the future is inflationary or deflationary?

  • The Economics Nobel

    The Economics Nobel

    The economics Nobel laureates have sought an implicit order and efficiency in Time. Starting 1969 Economic Nobel laureates research has focused on business cycles, fluctuations, economic history and mathematical proportion.

  • Quantifying Social Mood

    Quantifying Social Mood

    Classifying social mood and labeling it with wave counts is still an expertise, especially if you are new to Elliott Waves. Though Socionomics experts defined and developed an essential treatise on social behavior, quantification of Socionomics (the study of human social behavior) — like behavioral finance — isn’t easy.

  • The Earthquake Science

    The Earthquake Science

    Earthquake science can be used in markets because of time fractals. The earthquake science working for markets is an opinion as old as the butterfly effect and the study on Sun cycles influencing markets. Xavier Gabaix, assistant professor of economics at MIT, did not say that earthquake causes market behavior, but that large-scale events in…