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General AI

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What If?

Friends have started calling me, messaging me. Most of them, anxious about missing the ‘doubling the returns in under a year’ bus. This is different from the calls which I receive at market lows. I will be honest. I am not an advisor. I build intelligence machines, which manage money, can advise, and do a…
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General AI is the future

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Funny Money

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Tech Tokenization

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Why General AI?

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Why were prediction markets destined to fail?

AlphaBots is any SSR process that is open to validation on the AlphaBlock. The process can be alpha agents like prediction markets or data scientists, or simply machines open to competing on the AlphaBlock. Competition is important for the accountability of an SSR process. Without the validation accountability any alpha process is simply a subjective…
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Why Indexing Fails

The recent paper “Why Indexing works” [1] gives a probabilistic explanation of the futility of the Active process and why Passive Indexing is hard to beat. For every 1000 people who read the Wall Street Journal, maybe 10 read the Bloomberg Markets (BM) magazine and for every 10 who read the last month’s issue of…
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How The Noise Killed A Signal!

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Firefighter from Idaho

If you can explain your money management innovation (rule-based portfolios) to your mom, it is golden. My mom gets it. Succeeding in selling and marketing a new financial innovation just like any other innovation will be about design. If it is not intuitive, no overselling, branding and marketing money is going to stop the jumping…