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  • The Weekend Effect

    The Weekend Effect

    The idea of patterns and order is used conveniently by behavioral finance to challenge conventional economics. But the question of why that order exists has not been researched.

    May 5, 2011
  • Divergence Cyclicality

    Divergence Cyclicality

    Abstract: Divergence is an understudied subject loosely defined as an unpredictable random error. The classification of divergences as small or large is also at the heart of efficient or inefficient market theory debate. This paper explains how divergence is cyclical and can be quantified and used as a predictive model.

    April 18, 2011
  • The 3D Time

    The 3D Time

    If 3D Time and 3D Space were interchangeable, we have a unified theory of science which is easier to comprehend than the complex string theory. The recent work on the possibility of multiverse rather than universe brings us closer to understanding the cosmos and the closer we get to understanding cosmos, the closer we get…

    April 4, 2011
  • The Un(ethical) Insider

    The Un(ethical) Insider

    Ultimately the Raj Rajaratnam insider trading issue questions whether information, like price, is inefficient.

    March 24, 2011
  • The Intertemporal Choice

    The Intertemporal Choice

    I was working on a presentation this week and the time allocated to me was 18 minutes. It’s always tough to simplify the message. I allocated some additional hours to fine-tune my message. It was not a coincidence that I wanted to write on intertemporal choices (current decisions impacting options available in future), was speaking…

    February 6, 2011
  • Cost of Money

    Cost of Money

    Cheap cost of money is one reason why markets may discount negative news and continue to rise despite any short-term negativity. I was invited to present at the Market Technicians Association, Global Intermarket conference at Budapest. Technicians from Central and Eastern Europe had come together to discuss the global Intermarket situation and outlook for 2011.…

    January 18, 2011
  • Shiller’s Fluctuations vs. Temporal Changes

    Shiller’s Fluctuations vs. Temporal Changes

    Robert Shiller was not only one of the few to challenge the efficient market theory, as early as 1981 he was also the first to connect fundamental data with market data.

    January 13, 2011
  • Inflation or Deflation?

    Inflation or Deflation?

    Why does society find it so tough to comprehend whether the future is inflationary or deflationary?

    December 22, 2010
  • The Extraordinary Delusions

    The Extraordinary Delusions

    Abraham Lincoln was careful about what he wrote. But it was his duel of 1842 with James Shields that really brought that cautious change. Dueling was a normal practice to challenge and sort out differences. Lincoln apologized and managed to avoid a potential disaster. America could have lost its president to a duel.

    December 10, 2010
  • The Benner Prophecy

    The Benner Prophecy

    Benner’s model of ‘Time’ predicts a mini-crash in 2011, a boom till 2019, and a depression in 2021. He was the first one to talk about hierarchal ‘Time’ in 1875.

    November 16, 2010
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